Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.202598 0.235079 0.272902 0.320650 0.379962 0.452081 0.547758
2025-02-16 0.153413 0.193841 0.246718 0.322825 0.432868 0.591849 0.850429
2025-02-23 0.125132 0.167927 0.228829 0.325748 0.484315 0.750639 1.276987
2025-03-02 0.106409 0.149425 0.214740 0.327385 0.531855 0.924806 1.863780
2025-03-09 0.092458 0.134509 0.201724 0.325537 0.571129 1.104122 2.638254
2025-03-16 0.081138 0.121378 0.188392 0.318690 0.597390 1.271581 3.594891
2025-03-23 0.074742 0.115005 0.184932 0.328818 0.662796 1.577030 5.517968
2025-03-30 0.067318 0.105706 0.174447 0.321990 0.686647 1.789379 7.581030
2025-04-06 0.062543 0.100313 0.170162 0.327036 0.742613 2.152736 11.678040
2025-04-13 0.057508 0.093775 0.162567 0.322780 0.772139 2.455868 16.925726
2025-04-20 0.054174 0.089942 0.159698 0.328868 0.835376 2.972725 28.398473
2025-04-27 0.051537 0.087086 0.158348 0.338365 0.915100 3.686090 53.568870
2025-05-04 0.048863 0.083925 0.156037 0.345385 0.993452 4.553475 112.016110
2025-05-11 0.046635 0.081410 0.154793 0.355242 1.090603 5.780892 301.885113
2025-05-18 0.044341 0.078508 0.152253 0.360910 1.176698 7.196671 1039.525536
2025-05-25 0.042090 0.075456 0.148929 0.363512 1.253284 8.829357 6054.348892
2025-06-01 0.039810 0.072119 0.144477 0.361614 1.309580 10.527499 143580.871401
2025-06-08 0.037442 0.068381 0.138591 0.353827 1.333168 11.986838 NaN
2025-06-15 0.036258 0.067090 0.138562 0.365471 1.472096 16.187206 NaN
2025-06-22 0.034262 0.063841 0.133200 0.357639 1.495376 18.545672 NaN
2025-06-29 0.033033 0.062194 0.131758 0.363433 1.610007 24.351254 NaN
2025-07-06 0.031455 0.059635 0.127634 0.358548 1.653263 28.974886 NaN
2025-07-13 0.030465 0.058334 0.126702 0.365537 1.789200 39.734247 NaN